Argentine President Millai: Argentina's economy will grow in 2025 and inflation will decline.The commander of the Syrian rebels said that his troops had completely taken control of the Syrian city of Deir ez-Zor.The "Debt Bull" was launched, and a number of treasury bonds futures reached new highs. According to the analysis, the downward trend of broad-spectrum interest rates is expected to continue to support the bull market in the bond market. On December 10, 30-year, 10-year, 5-year and 2-year treasury bonds futures all hit record highs. Looking at it for a long time, since the beginning of this year, 30-year treasury bond futures have risen by nearly 16%, 10-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 5%, and 5-year treasury bond futures have risen by over 3%. Analysts pointed out that the logic of broad-spectrum interest rate downward has run through the whole year of 2024, and it is expected to continue to form an important support for the bond market in the long run. The recent market strength is not only an emotional effect at the end of the year and the beginning of the year, but also a blocking point to dredge and guide the overall downward trend of interest rates. Shen Wanhongyuan believes that in the short term, profit-taking behavior may increase after the low interest rate, but this is not the core factor that dominates the market. Shen Wanhongyuan said that the rate cut of policy interest rate in 2025 may not be less than 30 basis points. After the deployment of relevant important meetings at the end of the year, specific policies may be gradually implemented in the first quarter of next year. According to Huaxi Securities, looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be less than 50 basis points and 20 basis points (the rate in 2024). (Securities Times)
CF40 Research: Three Channels to Expand Domestic Demand. An article published by Guan Wei of China Financial Forty Forum (CF40) pointed out that the expansion of total demand, whether it is to expand consumption or investment demand, should be implemented on credit growth. When credit goes up, residents, enterprises and governments have more money in their pockets, so do expenditures and incomes, as well as profits and investments. At present, there are three main ways to expand credit: first, fiscal policy is exerted and the government borrows money; Second, the monetary policy will exert its strength and reduce the policy interest rate; The third is to stabilize the real estate market, and there can be no further sharp decline. In terms of finance, maintain the intensity of fiscal expenditure in a broad sense, and moderately increase the fiscal deficit to 4% in 2025. In terms of monetary policy, we should take reducing the real interest rate as an important goal, continue to implement "strong interest rate reduction", and timely reduce the interest rate of structural monetary policy tools below the policy interest rate level. In terms of the property market, it will ease the current cash flow pressure faced by real estate enterprises and promote the real estate to stop falling and stabilize from both ends of supply and demand.According to the Korean Chosun Ilbo, a pro-Yin Xiyue official said that the president has made up his mind to face the constitutional hearing with impeachment, instead of resigning early.US Central Command: The US military repelled the Houthi armed attack. On December 10, local time, the US Central Command said that two destroyers of the US Navy successfully repelled a series of weapons launched by the Houthi armed forces in Yemen when they crossed the Gulf of Aden from September 9 to 10. According to the statement, the destroyer intercepted and shot down several one-way attack drone systems and an anti-ship cruise missile. According to the US Central Command, the US Navy destroyer successfully repelled the Houthi armed attack during the transit from November 30 to December 1. (CCTV)
Chicago corn futures rose more than 1.5%, and the monthly report of USDA made the agricultural products market violently fluctuate. On Tuesday (December 10th) in late new york, CBOT corn futures rose 1.53% to 4.48-1/2 USD/bushel. After USDA released its inventory forecast report at 01:00 Beijing time, it broke the sideways consolidation state around 4.42 USD earlier in the day and accelerated. CBOT wheat futures rose 0.76% to $5.61/bushel. After the release of USDA monthly report, it fell below $5.56, then rebounded and refreshed above $5.63. CBOT soybean futures rose 0.53% to $ 9.95-1/4/bushel, and the USDA monthly report fell back to a level close to $9.90, then rebounded and approached the daily high of $10 refreshed at 23:41. Soybean meal futures rose by 0.97% and soybean oil futures fell by 0.21%.US Treasury Secretary Yellen: Trump's widely implemented tariff policy may undermine the progress made on inflation and increase costs. He talked with Trump's nominee for finance minister, Besant, and discussed the broad responsibilities of the Ministry of Finance.We are full of confidence in the US economy, said Blackstone's head of private equity in North America.
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14